關於
The Formosa Statehood Movement was founded by David C. Chou in 1994. It advocates Taiwan become a territory of the United States, leading to statehood.
簡介
[台灣建州運動]在1994年被周威霖與他的同志們在台灣建立, 這個運動主張[台灣人民在美國政府所認為的適當時機, 透過自決與公投, 加入美國], 第一個階段先讓台灣成為美國的領地, 第二階段再經一次公投成為美國一州.

[台灣成為美國的領地]是台灣前途解決的[中程解決方案], 在台灣成為美國領地之後, 經過一段時間, 台灣領地人民再來進行第二次的公投, 那時公投的選項當然可以包括[台灣成為美國一州].[台灣獨立建國].[台灣繼續做為美國的領地]及其它的方案.

[台灣建州運動]現階段極力主張與強力推動[台灣成為美國的領地], 這應該是 [反國民黨統治當局及中國聯手偷竊台灣主權] 的所有台灣住民目前最好的選擇.

在[舊金山和約]中被日本拋棄的台灣主權至今仍在美國政府的政治監護之中, [台灣建州運動]決心與台灣住民. 台美人.美國政府及美國人民一起捍衛台灣主權, 並呼籲台灣住民將台灣主權正式交給美利堅合眾國, 以維護並促進台灣人民與美國的共同利益.

2015年5月28日 星期四

尼克森總統任內的口述歷史與雷根總統日記(上)

尼克森總統任內的口述歷史與雷根總統日記(上)

一

我們在前幾天藉卡特總統的「白宮日記」來了解卡特政府的對台政策,今天我們藉一本口述歷史及「雷根日記」來了解。

這部口述歷史是Nixon: An Oral History of His Presidency by Gerald S. & Deborah H. Strober (Harper Collins Publishers, 1994),我們用的是Chapter 5: Foreign Affairs其中的幾節: The Two Chinas, President Nixon’s Historic Visit to the People’s Republic of China, The Meeting with Mao Tse-Tung & The Shanghai Communique (pp.129-137)。

我們從這一本口述歷史知道,至少有兩位人士反對尼克森打開中國之門與訪中。

H. R. Haldeman[Haldeman是尼克森總統的白宮幕僚長,1969-1973,因水門案被判刑]說: “There was opposition in the White House. Pat Buchanan, who at that time was a major speechwriter, thought it was a sellout of the Taiwanese. Some of the President’s backers in Congress, and in the country also, had that view. Nixon knew there would be flak, but that the ultimate results would override the opposition.” [Patrick J. Buchanan是美國政壇出名的保守派,他在尼克森擔任總統期間擔任尼的演說主要撰稿人,他反對尼與北京結盟,他後來曾三度參加共和黨總統初選,但沒有出線。]

William A. Rusher[Rusher是著名的右翼雜誌The National Review的副總兼社長,1957-1988]說: “This man [指尼克森] had been the principal friend of the Republic of China in the United States for twenty years, and then he turned around, with cool precision --- a politician without any principles at all. He proceeded to double-cross them --- one of the greatest historical double-crosses of all time. He would justify having done it on the grounds that he was president and was fighting the Cold War. I have since asked what in the world we got from this. I don’t see that he solved the problem of China at all. I suppose we got some listening posts in China against Russia. Now, I guess, we have listening posts in Russia against China.” [Rusher表達他對尼克森的不屑,他認為尼與北京結盟,並沒有為美國爭到什麼。]

比較重要的是關於上海公報的口述歷史,這一部分只有Marshall Green與Winston Lord[他隨尼克森訪中擔任記錄員,後來擔任重要智庫The Council on Foreign Relations的總裁,1985-1989年間擔任美國駐中國大使,1993-1997擔任美國國務院亞太事務助卿]表達了意見,Winston Lord說的不重要,Marshall Green說的比較值得我們提:

Marshall Green說: “The Shanghai Communique could have been a disaster. It ------ left the implication that we stood behind all of our treaties in East Asia, but it excluded reference to our treaty obligations to Taiwan. Kissinger was very mad at me for finding the mistake in the communiqué, because I put him in an embarrassing position vis-à-vis the president: he had bound Nixon to a document which was wide open to criticism from the right wing. There was a stormy session when the president found out about it. Kissinger wrote about the incident in his book, The White House Years. The president is storming up and down in his underwear, swearing he will get even with the State Department. My guess is that the president was storming up and down because he was mad at Kissinger for this serious oversight. I hope that the history will be written correctly.”

Marshall這段話十分重要,所以我必須特別加以解釋[在親日與親台的美國的保守派眼中,William Rogers之後的美國國務院已變成親共或親中的大本營,在尼克森與季辛吉掌控了美國的外交政策的方向與制訂之後,William Rogers國務卿的國務院已變成可有可無,而且逐漸被紅色勢力入侵,尼季兩人對當時的國務卿完全不看在眼裡,當國務院官員對上海公報的內容初稿加以挑裼時,據說尼克森十光火,認為國務院跟他搗蛋],他說: 尼克森氣急敗壞,穿著內衣內褲,奔上跑下,暴跳如雷,發誓要向國務院討公道。這段描述十分傳神。

隨尼季訪中的Marshall Green在一行391人中排名第8,他當時的官階與職務是國務院的亞太事務助卿,層級不低。是他發現了「上海公報」原稿中對台灣的利益有重大損害、且會被美國政壇親台的右翼勢力拿來攻擊尼克森政府的把柄的條款與文字 ,並立即向國務卿報告,國務卿立即向尼克森反映,尼克森十分光火,但還是做了些彌補與修正。倘若沒有這些彌補與修正,Marshall說,那就會對台灣與尼克森政府帶來災難[ “The Shanghai Communique could have been a disaster.” ],因為Marshall發現了重大錯誤,但也將季辛吉置於在尼克森面前陷入尷尬的處境,所以老季對Marshall十分生氣。

Marshall最後說: “My guess is that the president was storming up and down because he was mad at Kissinger for this serious oversight. I hope that the history will be written correctly.”他認為尼克森的光火不是針對國務院或他,而是對老季的疏忽光火,他希望這段歷史未來能夠被正確地寫出來。

我們未來會談老季在”The White House Years” 這本回憶錄中相關的記載。


二

既然提到「尼(克森)周(恩來)上海公報」,我們現在就把已經解密、存放於The National Security Archives的 「尼周會談記錄」等文件張貼出來。

Nixon's Trip to China
Records now Completely Declassified,
Including Kissinger Intelligence Briefing and Assurances on Taiwan
by William Burr
Posted - December 11, 2003

In their accounts of the historic February 1972 trip to China, Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger focus on the February 21 meeting with Mao Zedong as well as the talks with Zhou Enlai on the Vietnam War, Taiwan, and the Shanghai Communique. Both kept secret one of the trip's more remarkable episodes -- Kissinger's top secret intelligence briefing to the Chinese on Soviet military forces arrayed against China. They also kept secret some of their talks with Zhou; Kissinger later claimed that Zhou "spent very little of our time on" Taiwan, but actually Nixon and Kissinger went to some length to mollify his concerns about the possibility of Taiwanese independence and prospective Japanese influence over Taiwan. After years of declassification requests and appeals, the National Security Archive publishes here for the first time the intelligence briefing to the Chinese and the complete texts of Nixon's conversations with Zhou, including the assurances on Taiwan.

Richard Nixon's trip to China in February 1972 was a critically important moment in the early history of the Sino-American rapprochement. Keeping Secretary of State William Rogers out of the talks, Nixon and Kissinger met privately with Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai where they confirmed understandings on sensitive issues such as Taiwan and the normalization of diplomatic relations. Nearly ten years ago, the National Security Archive filed a mandatory review request with the National Archive's Nixon Presidential Materials Staff for declassification review of the memoranda of conversations (memcons) for the Nixon-Mao-Zhou Enlai meetings. While the Nixon-Mao memcon had been declassified separately among State Department records at the National Archives, the memcons of the Nixon-Zhou talks were finally released in the spring of 1999. Three of them, however, were released with a significant number of excisions. The National Security Archive promptly filed an appeal with the Nixon Presidential Materials Staff, which rejected it two years later on the grounds that declassification would harm U.S. foreign relations and national security. The next step, taken in June 2001, was an appeal to the Interagency Security Appeals Panel (ISCAP), the "court of last resort" for the mandatory review process. ISCAP enhanced its already remarkable reputation by approving complete release of the memcons in the fall of 2002. Possibly because of understaffing, the Nixon Presidential Materials Staff delayed releasing the documents until 14 November 2003. ---Read More---

While the newly released information in the Nixon-Zhou talks is interesting, none of it was so sensitive that it could not have been released years ago. Some of the excisions had to do with U.S. policy toward the Soviet Union and the 1971 South Asia War but most relate to two preoccupations of the Chinese leadership: 1) fear of renewed Japanese expansion, and 2) opposition to Taiwanese independence. The late 1960s and early 1970s was a period when Japan's export successes were catching attention throughout the industrialized world, not least in the United States where some industries were feeling the brunt of Japanese competition. As orthodox Marxists, the Chinese leadership easily assumed that economic expansion would develop into political and military expansion, a revival of the Japanese imperialism that had caused so much devastation in China only a few decades earlier. In keeping with this, Zhou expressed concern about the possibility of Japanese expansion into South Korea and Taiwan, with Nixon and Kissinger assuring him that as long as the United States had a security treaty with Japan, Washington would be in a position to check any Japanese tendencies toward militarism and political expansionism. With the U.S. committed to pulling its forces out of Taiwan, Zhou expressed anxiety not only about the revival of Japanese influence in its former colony, but also about the prospects for an independent Taiwan. The forces pushing for independence were small, but Zhou was nonetheless concerned and wanted assurances that Washington would not support any movement that was inconsistent with the concept of "one China."
Why security reviewers working with the Nixon Presidential Materials Staff sought to block complete declassification of these memcons is puzzling. Granting that some of the discussion remained sensitive during the 1970s, by the time that the Nixon project made the initial denials in 1999 and 2001, so much information had been declassified relating to the touchier portions of these documents that there could be no legitimate reasons to maintain their classification. Indeed, details on Beijing's concerns about Japanese expansion, possible Japanese influence in Taiwan and South Korea, and the Taiwanese independence movement had already been declassified in the Nixon National Security Files and State Department records at the National Archives. Concerns about harm to U.S. foreign policy were greatly exaggerated; its earlier decisions on the withholdings are a telling example of the overclassification problem in the U.S. government secrecy system.

The release of the Kissinger intelligence briefing to the Chinese on 23 February 1972 shows much better judgment. After it initially denied the Archive's mandatory review request in the spring of 2002, the Nixon Project released, in response to an appeal, the memcon of the intelligence briefing. Kissinger's intelligence briefings to the Chinese have long been a subject of discussion, but this is the first one to be declassified. Perhaps the ISCAP decision on the Nixon-Zhou talks made the Nixon Project and the National Archives less hesitant to declassify once sensitive documents, such as this one, that had long been overtaken by events. In light of their pursuit of détente with the Soviet Union at the same time, Nixon and Kissinger had understandable reasons for assigning a high classification to secret briefings on Soviet military forces arrayed against China. Now that so much information has been released on triangular diplomacy, however, this document was ripe for declassification, which the Nixon Project recognized, after some hesitation.

Documents

Document 1: Memorandum of Conversation, 22 February 1972, 2:10 p.m. - 6:10 p.m.

Location of original: National Archives, Nixon Presidential Materials Project, White House Special Files, President's Office Files, box 87, Memoranda for the President Beginning February 20, 1972
Newly Released Material: Pages 5 and 10-12 [New information appears in brackets]

The Nixon Project made several withholdings from this memcon, during which Nixon and Zhou reviewed the Taiwan issue, the U.S. military posture, Sino-American relations during the 1940s, and the Vietnam War negotiations. Key statements in the conversation (see page 5) were those in which Nixon provided the basis for what has been U.S. policy on Taiwan ever since. While Nixon said that the United States would not support "any" Taiwanese independence movement and asserted that Taiwan was "part of China,"[請注意,尼克森聲稱「台灣是中國的一部分」還好 「上海公報」不是這麼說。]

卡特總統「白宮日記」("White House Diary")中有關台灣的部分

卡特總統「白宮日記」("White House Diary")中有關台灣的部分

一

對「在台灣的住民」而言,尼克森與卡特兩位總統是印象比較深刻的,因為他們的中國政策與對台政策對台灣住民的命運產生了巨大與深遠的影響。

卡特在競選連任之役,被雷根擊敗,這對他而言,是極大的挫敗與羞辱。尼克森因在「水門案」中說謊被彈劾,因而被迫辭職下台,這對他而言,也是極大的恥辱 。他們兩人為了替自己恢復名譽或爭取歷史地位,所以在下任之後,勤奮著述與出書 。以卡特為例,他前後總共出了25本書,實在很驚人。

由於美國是在卡特總統任內與中國建交,所以我們今天決定使用他所出版的「白宮日記」中有關台灣的部分,來看他的對台政策。

要了解卡特的對台政策,當然還要研讀其他的出版物,包括他所出版的其他書(如”Keeping Faith: Memoirs of a President”)、U.S. Government Printing Office所出版的九大冊”Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: Jimmy Carter, 1977-81”、美國國家安全會議已解密的資料、他當年一些主要的國安與外交官員所出版的回憶錄或傳記,但我們今天並不準備涉及這些材料,此外,我們今天談卡特總統的對台政策,也將僅限於「白宮日記」中對台灣的記述,而不觸及對中國的記述,雖然這兩者息息相關。


二

卡特「白宮日記」("White House Diary Jimmy Carter")於2010年由Farrar, Straus and Giroux, New York出版。

我們現在按日期(即記載)的先後,把卡特「白宮日記」中對台灣的記述抄錄出來:

2/21/1977

Constant leaks of sensitive information---much of which was often distorted ---were to plague us during the entire term. Government officials with special interests---the awarding of defense contracts or the political status of Taiwan, to name just two examples---were eager to use their knowledge of inside information to further their causes.

這一段的記載說,他的政府內部敏感的資訊經常被洩露,與台灣的政治地位有關的訊息就是其中之一,原因是他的政府官員中有些人在這方面有特殊的利益,他們希望運用這些內幕消息,來增進他們自己的causes。

3/18/1977

I told Bill Scranton [former governor of Pennsylvania and ambassador to the United Nations] if we could have the Chinese agree not to solve the Taiwan question with force that we would try to bring about normal relationships with the People’s Republic.

這一段顯示,卡特在此時已經有美國應與中國關係正常化(建交)的想法,但他要中方同意他開的「不以武力解決台灣問題」的條件。

8/5/1977

Had lunch with the Joint Chiefs of Staff to let them know that I needed their advice re normalizing relationship with China. They all agreed, provided we could continue to trade and supply arms to Taiwan.

聯參會的軍方巨頭們同意美中關係正常化,倘若美國能繼續軍售台灣。

4/21/1978

The Hornes [Billy and Irene Horne, personal Georgia friends] came by to try to talk to me about Taiwan. I told them it was a serious mistake for Taiwan to give my friends expensive things such as trips and it was inappropriate to act as an ambassador for me or for the Taiwanese.

這一段顯示,台灣當局已偵知美國政府即將與所謂的「中華民國政府」斷交,所以極力拉攏卡特的喬治亞親友,希望透過他們來拉攏卡特,但卡特並不吃這一套。

為了讓讀者了解,他在這段記述下面加了一段解說:

As the prospects for normalizing our relationship with China improved (eight months later, we formally established diplomatic relations), the leaders of Taiwan began to pour favors---such as free trips, lodging, and expensive gifts---on our closed friends and relatives in the hope that they would secure my continued support. Rosalynn and I forbade any immediate member of our family to be seduced, but there is still a small Taiwanese garden on Main Street in Plains, donated during that year. (那時,高雄市與卡特的祖居地平原市結為姊妹市,高雄市並在該地建了一個台灣園。)

5/12/1978

We had a regular foreign affairs breakfast and discussed normalization with China this year. Our selling arms to Taiwan and our uncontradicted statement concerning a peaceful resolution of the P.R.C.-Taiwan issue would be mandatory.

卡特決定在1978年與中國建交,但中台問題的和平解決與對台軍售是mandatory的前提。

9/19/1978

I had an interesting meeting with Ambassador Chai Tse-min, from China. There are obvious compatibilities between the two [nations] if we want to normalize relations. The key issue from our side is that we will continue to sell defensive weapons to Taiwan, and we would make a public statement that the issue should be settled by peaceful means. We would expect China not to contradict this in an aggravating way.

卡特與中國派駐華盛頓的辦事處代表柴澤民談美中建交的條件,這兩個條件上面已提過。

12/15/1978

The big day for the China announcement. We were favorably impressed with Teng and the rapidity with which he moved and agreed to accept our one-year treaty with Taiwan, our statement that the Taiwan issue should be settled peacefully would not be contradicted by China, and that we would sell defensive weapons to Taiwan after the treaty expires.

卡特說他對鄧小平很快就接受美方的條件一事印象深刻。[這些條件後來就載入「台灣關係法」]

3/7/1979

I instructed Vance to hold firm on Taiwan legislation. If it violates my commitments to China, I will have to veto it, leaving it illegal to deal with Taiwan.

這一段談到「台灣關係法」的立法。

卡特在下面又加註,他說:

I was in control of this situation because I had presidential authority to form new ties to China and sever the treaty relationships with Taiwan. The Congress, meanwhile, had more limited authority: they could pass legislation that authorized our country to continue trade and commerce with Taiwan, but only as a province of China.

卡特這一段後來加上的註解犯下極嚴重的錯誤,他竟將台灣視為「中國的一省」。所以,我們必須研究他與他的國安顧問是否與中方有賣台的密約。

卡特將台灣視為「中國的一省」的說法與「台灣關係法」立法記錄中所顯示的行政與立法部門「台灣法律地位未定」的共識與認知產生了矛盾。

立法記錄這麼說:

The [Carter ]Administration has stated that it recognizes the People’s Republic of China (PRC) as the sole legal government of China. It has also acknowledged the Chinese position that Taiwan is a part of China, BUT THE UNITED STATES HAS NOT ITSELF AGREED TO THIS POSITION. The bill submitted by the Administration TAKES NO POSITION ON THE STATUS OF TAIWAN UNDER INTERNATIONAL LAW, but does regard Taiwan as a country for purposes of U.S. domestic law. The bill assumes that any benefits to be conferred on Taiwan by statute may be conferred WITHOUT REGARD TO TAIWAN’S INTERNATIONAL LEGAL IDENTITY. THE LEGAL SCHOLARS CONSULTED BY THE [SENATE] COMMITTEE [ON FOREIGN RELATIONS]AGREED WITH THIS VIEW. MOST OF THESE SCHOLARS THOUGHT IT WOULD BE UNWISE TO TRY TO DEFINE TAIWAN’S INTERNATIONAL STATUS. [註: 大寫字是我自己打的,目的是為了要強調那幾個關鍵字。]

11/30/1979

We won our Taiwan treaty appellate court decision, certifying that I had the right to terminate the treaty.

12/13/1979
The Supreme Court ruled with me on the abrogation of the Taiwan treaty.

上面這兩段記載指出,卡特在哥倫比亞特區聯邦上訴法院與聯邦最高法院贏了官司(Goldwater v. Carter),法院判決行政部門有權與所謂的「中華民國政府」斷絕外交關係並廢除「美蔣共同防禦條約」。

台灣建州運動發起人周威霖
David C. Chou
Founder, Formosa Statehood Movement
(an organization devoted in current stage to making Taiwan a territorial commonwealth of the United States)

反美的琉球左翼政客持續對美日同盟與「大美和平」(Pax Americana)進行破壞與打擊(下)

反美的琉球左翼政客持續對美日同盟與「大美和平」(Pax Americana)進行破壞與打擊(下)

第三部分

對這個惱人的議題,「紐約時報」的報導與觀察比較深入與正確,所以我們今天還要再度借重它的報導,來讓台美與台灣鄉親正確掌握沖繩的情勢。駐沖繩的美軍,特別是陸戰隊遠征軍,肩負保衛台灣的重責大任,所以那些主張減少美國的沖繩駐軍或者反對美國在沖繩駐軍的琉球人或日本人,說清楚些,就是美國、日本與台灣人的敵人,但是我們台灣人與台美人與其去詛咒與譴責那些人,還不如歡迎美軍重返並永駐台灣。

根據日裔(也是台裔)美國人長山四男老先生的說法,小布希時代的美國白宮官員(包括小布希總統本人)、國務院官員與國防部官員讀了周威霖寫的「與美國有約」一書的英譯本後,對該書有很高的評價,並認為台灣是美國最理想的基地。倘若此說屬實,美國政府就應排除萬難,讓美軍重返並長駐台灣,無需在西太平洋、南太平洋與東亞地區進行輪調與流浪。

我們現在來讀1/20/2014一則「紐約時報」的報導:

“In a City on Okinawa, Mayor’s Re-election Deals a Blow to Marine Base Relocation Plan”
By Marin Fackler

TOKYO — Efforts to relocate a Marine air base that has been a longstanding irritant in ties between Japan and the United States suffered a new setback on Sunday when voters in a small Okinawan city re-elected a leftist mayor who promised to block construction of a replacement site.

The victory for the mayor of Nago, Susumu Inamine, dealt an embarrassing blow to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who has invested his political capital in efforts to restart the long-stalled relocation deal, and who seemed to achieve a breakthrough last month by gaining the support of Okinawa’s governor. 
Mr. Abe, a conservative, has vowed to build closer ties with the United States at a time when both nations face growing challenges from a militarily resurgent China and a nuclear-armed North Korea.
The relocation has been fiercely opposed by Okinawans, who want the base — the Marine Corps’ Air Station Futenma — off their island altogether. Opinion polls had forecast a victory for Mr. Inamine, who has opposed the nearly two-decade-old plan to move the base and its noisy helicopters and other aircraft from a heavily populated part of Okinawa to the fishing hamlet of Henoko, in a remote corner of his city.
In a high-profile attempt to swing the election, Mr. Abe had thrown his government’s political weight — and financial resources — behind a challenger in favor of the base plan, Bunshin Suematsu. A week before the vote, the Abe government even dangled the prospect of a half-billion dollars in new public works spending for the city, or the equivalent of more than $8,000 for each of Nago’s 63,000 residents.

Such offers of largess failed to win over Nago’s voters. Mr. Inamine, 68, a former school superintendent who was supported by the Japanese Communist Party and other progressive groups, received 19,839 votes, to 15,684 votes for the conservative, Mr. Suematsu, 65, a former member of the Okinawa prefectural assembly.

“Without the mayor’s approval and consent, this process cannot go forward,” Mr. Inamine told cheering supporters, referring to the base relocation plan. “In order to protect the future for our children, I will not allow a new base to be built.”

Mr. Abe has tried to succeed where his predecessors failed by reviving the deal to relocate Futenma, which was first struck in 1996 to appease anger in Okinawa over the gang rape of a schoolgirl by American military personnel the year before. The lack of progress in the deal has driven a wedge between Japan and the United States, which wants the new air base as part of a sweeping realignment of the Marines included in the Obama administration’s strategic “pivot” toward the Asia-Pacific region.

Last month, Mr. Abe appeared to achieve a breakthrough when the governor of Okinawa, Hirokazu Nakaima, dropped his opposition to the project to approve landfill permits for construction of two runways in coral-filled waters off Henoko.
But building the base will also require the use of ports and roads, which must be approved by the mayor. That approval is unlikely to be forthcoming from Mr. Inamine, who was first elected in 2010 on an anti-base platform and during the recent campaign vowed to block any construction “on land or sea.”

After Mr. Inamine’s victory late Sunday night, hundreds of supporters gathered at his campaign office, some in tears, others vowing angry defiance.

“If anything, we feel Mr. Nakaima betrayed us by flip-flopping,” Etsuko Urashima, 65, a writer who lives in Nago, said by phone. “That made us want to say even more loudly, ‘No base!’ ”

Mr. Inamine’s re-election leaves Mr. Abe’s governing Liberal Democratic Party with a tough decision. It can either wait another four years until the city’s next mayoral election in hopes of electing a conservative candidate, or try to force construction over the current mayor’s objections — a move that political analysts said could set off huge protests.

“I don’t think the Abe government is just going to give up easily,” said Akira Kimura, an international relations specialist at Kagoshima University, “but this could quickly come to a head if Mr. Abe tries to force construction.” 

In Tokyo, governing party lawmakers expressed disappointment with the result. They said the outcome would not change their plans to relocate the base, which they said would ultimately lead to a reduction in the American presence as thousands of Marines are redeployed to Guam, Australia and Hawaii.

“We will continue to work for the development of Okinawa and reduction of the base presence,” said Takeo Kawamura, chairman of the party’s election strategy committee. 

Arguments that the relocation will lessen their burden have failed to sway many Okinawans, who view Futenma as a symbol of what they see as an onerous American presence that contributes to pollution and crime on their tropical island. They also rail against what they call their island’s disproportionate sacrifice: more than half of the 50,000 United States military personnel in Japan are currently stationed on Okinawa.

During the campaign for mayor, Mr. Inamine dismissed the offers of money from Tokyo as an effort to buy votes and silence grievances.

“Nago’s residents will be the ones who choose Nago’s mayor,” he said Saturday. “Nago’s residents choose to reject Henoko.”


第四部分

雖然沖繩的反美左翼勢力反對美軍駐紮沖繩,但安倍政府不為所動,話雖如此, ---Read More--- 基地建設需要聯外道路及若干周邊設施,這些都需要取得名護市長稻嶺進,的合作與許可 ,這個反美的左翼小政客擁有當地的民意基礎,所以安倍政權還有得苦頭吃,很難稱心如意。

我們現在來讀一篇報導的一部分,看日本政府怎麼說:

“Japan Undeterred by Anti-U.S. Base Mayor’s Re-election”
By Yuriko Nagano
Associated Press
1/20/2014

TOKYO – The Japanese government said today it would push forward with a long-stalled agreement to relocate a U.S. military base within Okinawa, despite the re-election of a mayor who opposes the plan. 

A government spokesman said building the base in Nago is the only solution, given all the factors involved. 

“We remain unchanged on continuing steadily with the plan,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga said.

His comments come a day after Nago Mayor Susumu Inamine, who vowed to block construction of the base by denying permits for the project, won a hard-fought contest against a pro-base opponent supported by Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party. 


第五部分

在沖繩的反美左翼份子成為老共的同路人的同時,美國的戰略家與軍事家普遍已有「中國現在已在挑戰與破壞美國的世界領導權」的認知與共識(美國國安與外交界的菁英階層有此共識,對包括台灣人在內的亞太地區人民是好事),光是最近我們就在美國的主流媒體讀到了兩篇這反映這種共識的文章,現在我們把它們轉貼出來,讓鄉親們讀一讀:

“HEAR China’s Roar” (或”Why the Suddenly Aggressive Behavior by China?”)
By Gary Schmitt
The Los Angeles Times
1/10/2014

It would be difficult to believe that China's leaders didn't expect a negative reaction from its neighbors and the United States when it announced the creation of an expansive air defense identification zone over the East China Sea in late November. But that raises the question of why those leaders are behaving the way they are when China has so many domestic problems that need urgent attention, and when China's continued growth and ability to deal with those problems depends on a stable international order. Why pick fights now?

Indeed, for many years, the public rhetoric from Beijing was centered on China's "Peaceful Rise." Unlike the emergence of other great powers, China's move to the front ranks of nation-states would not, the Chinese argued, be accompanied by a militancy aimed at displacing hegemonies.

China would not, its interlocutors with the West said, follow in the footsteps of Wilhelmine Germany, Imperial Japan or, for that matter, 1890s America. Chinese behavior was to be governed by former leader Deng Xiaoping's admonition that it would "not seek leadership" and would "maintain a low profile." Until China could exercise preeminence, it was best, Deng advised, to "hide our capacities and bide our time."

With good reason. China's remarkable leap from impoverished nation to the second-largest economy in the world has been made possible by an international economic order that it has taken full advantage of. Beijing has every reason not to kill the golden goose of globalization by turning the attention of the region's other powers from trade and business to matters of security and armaments. Nor would one think that China would want to challenge the United States now since, arguably, it is American power and leadership that has largely kept the world's trading system humming by keeping both the great commons free and cataclysmic wars among the great powers from happening.
So, again, why the aggressive behavior now?

One answer Sinologists give is bureaucratic: The military made me do it. The argument here is that China's civilian leaders, who are always looking for ways to increase their own support within the competing factions of the Communist Party, will accordingly give the military more resources and more leeway to garner that support.

But there is no solid evidence to support this thesis, and it runs counter to what we know about how one-party states operate. Keeping the folks with the guns and the tanks under the party leadership's control is a ruling axiom that no senior Chinese Communist Party official would intentionally ignore. And since taking over the party's reins in November 2012, President Xi Jinping has left little doubt as to who is in charge of military and security affairs.

The other argument offered to explain recent Chinese behavior is linked to American weakness. In 2009, with the great recession underway, the Obama administration's grand strategic outreach to Beijing was seen by the Chinese as a sign of U.S. retreat. Talk at the time from senior American officials of a possible G-2 and President Obama's statement that "the relationship between the United States and China will shape the 21st century," making "it as important as any bilateral relationship in the world" appeared to convince that Chinese that its rise to the top might be occurring faster than anticipated because of a more precipitous U.S. decline.

This narrative has only increased as the administration's planned "pivot" to Asia has been undercut by declining defense budgets and doubt that the Trans-Pacific Partnership free-trade agreement will be concluded anytime soon.

However, perceived U.S. weakness cannot be the whole story, even if it's an important part. What are also at play are Chinese ambitions. China's leaders want their nation to be a great power; they want China, as in its imperial past, to have a predominant say in the region. Xi's earliest speeches and appearances were to stoke the "Chinese Dream," and it was on his watch that Chinese passports were issued with watermark maps that included territories claimed by Japan, Vietnam the Philippines and India.

From Beijing's perspective, the United States is the region's interloper and the principal obstacle to obtaining that goal of predominance. And, like individuals, nations can be envious and resentful of those they perceive as standing in the way, even when economic and trade ties are substantial. One has only to remember the dynamic between Wilhelmine Germany and Britain in the years leading up to World War I to appreciate the need to design policies that face up to this reality so as to avoid a similar disaster.

When Deng spoke of China maintaining a low profile, it was, after all, only until it was safe to exercise its power openly. One can certainly question whether China has reached that point. But that is the problem with grand ambitions; they are difficult to stifle or retreat from.

If one had to predict, dealing with Beijing in the year ahead is not likely to get any easier — if anything, it may be even more difficult.
(Gary Schmitt is director of the Marilyn Ware Center for Security Studies at the American Enterprise Institute.)

接下來,我們來讀老戰略家Edward Luttwak的大作:

“China’s Risky Flirtation with Military Adventurism”
By Edward Luttwak
1/2/2014

On Dec. 5, a Chinese naval vessel deliberately attempted to block a U.S. Navy cruiser in international waters. In a startling revelation, U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel has confirmed to the press that at one point only 100 yards separated the two vessels. That raises an important question: Why did the Chinese commanders think it a good idea to provoke a near-collision with a U.S. warship? 

A growing record of encounters suggests that Chinese naval officers have career incentives to act provocatively, even at the risk of deadly incidents. So do their counterparts in the army. Forces under the Lanzhou Military Region, in China's west, thought it smart to seize Indian-controlled terrain in Ladakh this April. They retreated only when the Indians threatened to cancel a state visit. Similarly, the China Coast Guard has been intrusively patrolling the waters around the Japanese-controlled Senkaku Islands, even entering Japanese territorial waters in recent days.

It was different during the Cold War. In spite of countless encounters between American and Soviet aircraft and warships, as well as the famous set-to between the U.S. and Soviet armies at "Checkpoint Charlie" in the heart of Berlin, there were very few dangerous incidents. Soviet officers knew that "adventurism" was a career-ending offense. 

Yet in the Chinese case, Communist Party leaders apparently encourage it. The state media vigorously endorse each act of military adventurism. Why should this be? After all, the risks of escalation are enormous. 

With all due respect for the China's first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning—which the USS Cowpens was monitoring from a safe distance when the Dec. 5 incident occurred—today's Chinese navy is a set of easy targets for America's aircraft carriers and attack submarines. The USS Cowpens is a near 10,000-ton missile cruiser. 

Likewise, Japan's navy could sweep the seas around the Senkakus of any intruding Chinese coast guard or naval vessels, including the entire Liaoning flotilla. So why is Beijing risking humiliating defeat?

The inescapable conclusion is that since 2008 China's leaders have abandoned the "peaceful rise" policy that Deng Xiaoping launched in 1978 and senior strategist Zheng Bijian spelled out in 2003. To rise economically, China needed a receptive world environment in which its exports, imports and incoming investments would be unimpeded. Deng's policy—threaten nobody, advance no claims and don't attack Taiwan—was brilliantly successful, as the U.S. actively favored China's economic growth and other countries followed suit, to the great benefit of the Chinese people, and us all.

Everything changed after 2008. Interpreting the global financial crisis as a harbinger of collapsing American power, Beijing abruptly revived its long-dormant claim to most of the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh, rebuffed friendly overtures from Japanese politicians and instead demanded the Senkakus, and declared ownership of vast portions of the South China Sea hundreds of miles from any Chinese coast but well within the exclusive economic zones of the Philippines, Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia and Vietnam.

China's demands are now asserted even on its passports, which are decorated with a map that on close inspection includes South Korean waters. The seven countries under pressure have naturally reacted by coalescing against China, at least diplomatically, and in some cases substantively—as in the informal India-Japan-Vietnam arrangement that is endowing the hard-pressed Vietnamese navy with modern submarines. China's bombastic proclamation last month of an Air Defense Identification Zone that overlaps with both Japan's and Korea's, may even improve the fraught relationship between those two countries. 

Chinese leaders now complain of being confronted by emerging coalitions from South Korea to India, and they blame the U.S. for it all. But despite Washington's famous "pivot," it wasn't the cunning malevolence of the U.S. State Department that turned China's neighbors against it.

Rather, it was the Chinese government itself—country by country, demand by demand. The latest demand, after the Air Defense Identification Zone affair, is that Japan should not increase its military spending—i.e., that it should refrain from reacting to daily Chinese threats.

Some observers see a clever long-term scheme of systematic intimidation at work. Others insist that it cannot be clever to quarrel with seven neighbors at once. Nor does it make sense for a rising China to alarm everybody prematurely, causing them to unite diplomatically and even perhaps commercially against Chinese interests. 

China's Communist Party leaders have been competent in managing a vast and dynamic economy, and their repression is also very skillful in minimizing visible brutality (except against minorities). For these reasons, there is an assumption by many outsiders that the leadership is equally proficient in foreign policy. 

Unfortunately, the actual evidence so far is that we are witnessing a prolonged outbreak of feckless nationalism and militarism that evokes the sinister precedent of pre-1914 Germany. This was a country that had the world's best universities, the most advanced industries and the strongest banks. It lacked only the strategic wisdom of persisting in its own "peaceful rise."

(Mr. Luttwak is author most recently of "The Rise of China vs. the Logic of Strategy" (Harvard, 2012))

中國人過早地與迫不及待地露出了囂張與猙獰的面目、霸道與黷武的本質、侵略與擴張的本性,對台灣人與世人都是好事,若他們沉得住氣,在二十年後才露出狐狸尾巴,那對台灣人與中國周邊地區其他國家的人民就會是更大的災難,因為中國人若不露出狐狸尾巴,美國的菁英階層與統治階層會出現許許多多的賣台派、棄台派、對日疏離派、親中派、對中姑息派與對中調適派,這些人的出現與聒噪是美國的不幸,更是亞太地區人民的大不幸,台灣人更慘,將會葬送在這些人的手裡。

台灣建州運動發起人周威霖
David C. Chou
Founder, Formosa Statehood Movement
(an organization devoted in current stage to making Taiwan a territorial commonwealth of the United States)

反美的琉球左翼政客持續對美日同盟與「大美和平」(Pax Americana)進行破壞與打擊(上)

反美的琉球左翼政客持續對美日同盟與「大美和平」(Pax Americana)進行破壞與打擊(上)

第一部分

建州運動在12/29/2013發表了一篇文章,談論駐琉球美軍基地的問題,我們在該文中表達美軍長駐沖繩一事的不樂觀,並因此表達我們歡迎美軍以台灣為永久基地之意。

現在讓我們張貼該文的若干重點:

「台灣建州運動」呼籲與歡迎美軍在台澎設立永久基地,保衛亞太地區,我們相信台灣人願意承擔責任
(12/29/2013發表)

一

1941年12月6日,日軍偷襲美國領地哈外夷(「夏威夷」),1945年8月,日本被美國擊敗,無條件投降,美國佔領與統治日本帝國本土(包括琉球群島),原為日本帝國一部分的台灣則走衰運,竟被遠東盟軍總部劃歸蔣介石中國來接管,讓台灣至今還在「舊金山和約系統」的管理之下。日本與琉球群島雖然早已不再被美國軍管或託管,但美國至今仍在日本與琉球群島大量駐軍,以便保衛日本、台灣、南韓及美國在亞洲的利益。

琉球群島的土地面積只佔日本的極小部分,卻承接美國在日本的大量駐軍的一半,所以有些琉球人認為他們的負擔太重,對他們不公平,他們之中有些人希望把普天間的基地[美國海軍陸戰...隊的航空基地]移到較偏遠的名護市海岸地帶,甚至有人堅決主張減少美國在琉球的駐軍或者完全不要在琉球駐軍[老共最希望看到次此事成真,所以那些反美國駐軍的琉球人與主張琉球獨立的一小撮人,就某種意義而言,是老共的同路人]。

十幾年來,在名護海岸地帶建普天間替代基地一事始終無法定案,但由於老共最近兩、三年在東海地區進行擴張,給華府、東京與沖繩人帶來一些新的壓力等原因,沖繩知事終於對普天間替代基地建設案加以首肯,讓懸宕已久的案子看起來好像已得到解決,不過,這件事不會那麼平順,因為還有不識大體的沖繩小政客準備興風作浪,希望東京撥下的優厚財政補助能塞住他們的嘴巴,並讓他們只在不滿的群眾面前作秀,交差了事。

二

華府與日本安倍政府為什麼如此重視此案而且必須儘速解決? 美國國防部長的聲明就提供了答案,美國給了這麼透明的答案[即此案牽涉到「美國對亞太地區再平衡」的部署,也牽涉到美國為維持維護亞太地區和平與安全的軍事能力的考量],老共當然會覺得不爽,但即便美國不給答案,老共也是心知肚明:

"The realignment effort is absolutely critical to the United States' ongoing rebalance to the Asia-Pacific region and our ability to maintain a geographically distributed, operationally resilient, and politically sustainable force posture in the region. Moving forward with this plan will reduce our footprint in the most populated part of Okinawa and let us return significant land south of Kadena Air Base while sustaining U.S. military capabilities vital to the peace and security of the region.

"Reaching this milestone is a clear demonstration to the region that the alliance is capable of handling complex, difficult problems in order to deal effectively with 21st century security challenges. The U.S.-Japan relationship has long played an indispensable role in the Asia-Pacific.

三

緊接著在美國國防部長發表書面聲明之後,美國與國際媒體就立即加以報導,例如CNN,我們現在只張貼其中一小部分:

“U.S. Okinawa base will be allowed to move after 17-year deadlock”
By Yoko Wakatsuki and Ben Brumfield, CNN
updated 6:45 PM EST, Fri December 27, 2013

Tokyo (CNN) -- A Japanese governor has approved a measure to allow for the relocation of a controversial U.S. military base on Okinawa, breaking 17 years of stagnation on the base's transfer plan, the government of Okinawa said Friday.

The Okinawa prefecture's Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima on Friday approved a landfill proposal by the Japanese central government that will permit the construction of new military facilities in a sparsely populated area.

About half of all U.S. military personnel in Japan are stationed on the island.

Nakaima, the governor, also implied that escalating tension with neighboring countries pushed Okinawa to cooperate with the central government.

"Regardless the will of the Okinawa people, the tension is heightening on (the) international front. Okinawa needs to play a certain role for that," he said.

Okinawa administers the Senkaku Isands, a flash point in a territorial dispute between Japan and China. China claims them as territory and calls them the Diaoyu Islands.

在這項報導中其中的兩段已說明了沖繩知事為什麼要採取這項識大體的決定:

//Nakaima, the governor, also implied that escalating tension with neighboring countries pushed Okinawa to cooperate with the central government.//

//"Regardless the will of the Okinawa people, the tension is heightening on (the) international front. Okinawa needs to play a certain role for that," he said.//

四

普天間基地遷移與名護替代基地建設案的確是有了進展,但事情絕不會從此就進行平順,「英文日本時報」的一篇社論道出了其中的原委:

“Progress on Futenma Relocation”
The Japan Times
Dec 27, 2013

Abe needs to follow through on his words that the central government will do all it can to reduce Okinawa’s burden of hosting the U.S. bases. And the reduction needs to result in a substantially smaller American military footprint on the island. Otherwise, resentment in Okinawa will rise.

這一段說出了琉球人的心聲與琉球美軍基地的根本解決辦法,該報指出,倘若東京政府不縮減美軍在琉球的規模,那麼沖繩人對東京的憎恨會升高[這還得了!]。

1937 7/29 通州大屠殺 才是大日本皇軍進入中國的因素之一。

1937 7/29 通州大屠殺,才是大日本皇軍進入中國的因素之一。

中國軍屠殺日本人事件

「通州事件」是台灣的鄰國,中國與日本在20世紀初期戰爭時期,日本扶植的「冀東防共自治政府」下屬通州保安隊的中國士兵於1937年7月29日轉向攻擊冀東防共自治政府之時,在通州(今通州區)犯下的大規模對日本僑民屠殺、強姦以及縱火搶劫等戰爭罪行與反人類罪行。

1937年盧溝橋事變爆發後,華北中國軍隊和日軍發生全面交火。

1937年7月27日,日軍向駐通州附近的中國部隊29軍發出通牒並進行轟炸。駐紮在通州舊城南門外的通州保安隊未執行日軍的部署,按兵不動。

日軍轟炸機因分不清楚冀察和冀東的分界線,誤炸了靠近寶通寺軍營的冀東保安隊幹部訓練所,導致發生數名保安隊員死亡的事件。

接到誤炸的報告後,細木特務機關長直接前往冀東防共自治政府向殷汝耕長官致歉,並親自前往現場視察,慰問死者家屬。

次日28日,細木召集了保安隊教導總隊的幹部,解釋了誤炸的原因,並表示會處理善後。張慶餘等保安隊領導人則早在1935年12月就與29軍長宋哲元見面,預謀起兵叛變,不再接受日軍和親日的冀東防共自治政府的領導,而投奔當時駐紮在附近的中國軍隊。

駐守通州(今通州區)的中國保安隊更因聽信南京電臺(中國國民政府的官方電臺)對外宣傳了「盧溝橋29軍大敗日軍,中國軍隊已經陸續奪回豐台和廊坊,中央政府將陸續向華北派遣野戰軍,殲滅日軍指日可待。」的「日本が大敗した」謠言。

南京政府最後還宣稱「軍事會議決定,蔣委員長命令附近的29軍大舉進攻冀東,血洗偽都通州,並血祭漢奸殷汝耕的決議」的決定。

殷汝耕(浙江溫州平陽人 ,日本名叫井上耕二)有一兄長殷汝驪,為中國國民政府前財政部次長。殷汝驪之子殷之浩為大陸工程公司創辦人,殷之浩之女殷琪曾為台灣高鐵董事長。

殷汝耕於1947年被南京方面判處死刑。

聽了中國廣播之後,通州的中國保安隊於是誤判情勢,於7月29日開始對該地的日軍守備隊和特務機關發動攻擊。

當時,通州的日本留守部隊為藤尾小隊的40人,山田自動車中隊的50人,連憲兵、兵站(從事補給)、兵器部等其他部門在內一共110人的薄弱兵力。

張慶餘、張研田(第2総隊長)率領的兩支保安部隊看準日方部隊力量單薄的時候,開始對日本軍民進行襲擊。中國保安隊趁著夜色襲擊了長官公署並俘虜了殷汝耕,中國保安隊的主力則攻擊日本軍守備隊。日方雖然只有極少的部隊,但是依然進行抵抗。

殷汝耕被捕後,張慶餘準備引渡他去北平交給宋哲元。但半途遇到日本軍遭,護送部隊全部逃跑。混亂之中。殷汝耕逃入北平城內躲藏。

通州日本守備隊除了輕機槍、步槍、手榴彈以外,沒有任何的重武器。通州日本守備隊冒著敵方的密集火力,死傷不斷增加的情況下開始撤退,日本僑民的住處和特務機關最後也挺不住。

通州日本特務機關遭到了相當於一個中隊的保安隊的襲擊,終於全員陣亡,特務機關被全部消滅。

中國士兵對日本僑民的暴行,也在這個時候開始了。大量的日本無辜僑民(多數是老弱婦孺)被搶劫、強姦、凌辱和殺戮,其手段殘忍。中國士兵用其野蠻的殺人方式,在各地展開屠殺。

中國士兵將男子開腸剖肚,挖眼還割頭皮殺害,日本婦女用鐵絲穿過手掌串珠似地被串在一起,手腳被綁,姦淫之後被斬首,陰戶還被插入刺刀,有的陰部甚至被硬被塞入掃帚。

事後,由於通州保安隊沒有得到華北的29軍宋哲元部的配合,「起義」的冀東保安隊第一總隊隊長張慶餘退走。直到半夜,日軍找尋倖存者的下落。日軍一邊連喚:「有日本人在嗎?」一邊挨家挨戶調查。

這時鼻子像牛般被穿上鐵絲的日本兒童、被砍斷手臂的老嫗、腹部被插上刺刀的日僑孕婦等,陸續從滿是塵埃的箱櫃裡、壕溝內、牆角暗處爬了出來。

本是漢奸的張慶餘因通州事件後,歸順中國國民黨軍成為第91軍副軍長,昇為中將。對於729通州屠殺事件,中國方面都是隱瞞的,只稱是「抗日蜂起」。

冀東防共自治政府代長官池宗墨向北平的日本大使館正式謝罪,最後向日方賠償了約120萬日元。

729通州屠殺事件的消息傳到日本,引起日本國民的憤怒,使日本發起「暴支膺懲」口號。

WW2大戰結束後,根據遠東國際軍事法庭的證言,中國士兵殺害約235個日本僑民、顧問、官兵和日韓浪人,受害者多為日本平民。

答覆問題: 「如果流亡政府都沒邦交國,美國是否就可以正式接管台灣政權?」

答覆問題: 「如果流亡政府都沒邦交國,美國是否就可以正式接管台灣政權?」
建州運動之友Mr. Jian Lung Chiou捎來一個message: 「來問一下〜如果流亡政府都沒邦交國〜這樣算不算完全(陣亡)〜是不是美國就可以正式接管台灣政權?」

我現在來進行回應:

(1)對主張「台灣是主權獨立的國家,它現在的名字叫『中華民國』」或主張「一個中國,兩個地區,雙方互不承認主權,但互不否認治權」的人而言,「中華民國」失去或沒有邦交國是很嚴重的事,因為這會讓「中華民國」的「法律上的存在」消褪或喪失。但對一看到『中華民國』這個名號就冒火的人而言,邦交國的數字逐漸減少或歸零不但不會如喪考妣,反而會額手稱慶。

(2)但從TRA與美國的政策看來,台灣或 「中華民國」都不是主權獨立的國家,美國係透過TRA與台灣或”The People on Taiwan”互動,並維持「非官方的關係」。

在TRA的架構下,台灣或”The People on Taiwan”都包括GAT (「在台灣的治理當局」,The Governing Authorities on Taiwan)。對台派而言,國民黨在台灣的政權還是流亡政權(這是政治語言),即便它是透過美國所認可的「定期與普遍的選舉」[尚難謂公平]而產生,且是TRA架構下的GAT。

換言之,國民黨在台灣的政權、民進黨政權與「事實上仍在台灣存在的中華民國」即使連一個邦交國也沒有,我們認為,美國(在TRA稱為The People of the United States)仍會根據TRA,繼續把台灣定位為「被視同國家(準國家)的自治政治實體」,並繼續與台灣或”The People on Taiwan”往來與互動(美國與台灣的互動不是基於台灣是否有邦交國),不會來接管台灣,除非「台灣建州運動」的「台灣加入美國方案」得到多數台灣人民的支持且在台灣前途公投中通過、美國國會通過接納台灣的決議案或法案並經總統簽署,不過,那種情況與其說是「美國接管台灣」,不如說是「台灣加入美國」,因為在美國的聯邦體制下,不管是州也好或像關島那類的領地也好,都有自己的政府,都擁有自己的法定職權。

[Mr. Jian Lung Chiou,請注意「我們認為」這幾個字,因為我們不敢也不能跟其他人一樣,狂妄無知地以「美國政府的代理人或代言人」自居,我們只能表達自己的觀點。]

台灣建州運動發起人周威霖
David C. Chou
Founder, The Formosa Statehood Movement
(an organization devoted in current stage to making Taiwan a territorial commonwealth of the United States)

關於台灣1949-1950這個關鍵時期的歷史

                                                                         關於台灣1949-1950這個關鍵時期的歷史

我在2014年1月3日收到「台美人歷史協會」副會長鄭炳全博士從NATPA Forum輾轉得到的一份很珍貴的資料,那是一份有關王雲程先生(Mr. Hoongting Ong)編譯及甫出版的「福爾摩沙 1949」一書的簡介以及歷史與政治學者陳儀深先生為該書寫的序。
鄭副會長把那份資料寄給我,一來是由於我們歷史協會業務上的需要,二來可能是他認為我應該會很重視那份訊息,他的考量與猜測都沒錯。
與台灣的歷史學者、史家不同,我把1945年終戰後到今天的台灣界定為「台灣的美國時代」,原因是美國在美日的太平洋戰爭中擊敗了日本,把包括台灣與澎湖在內的「太平洋戰區」中日本所統治、託管或佔領的所有領土全部加以解放或直接佔領,台灣在「舊金山和約」簽訂與生效前,在法律上仍是日本的領土,但在「舊金山和約」簽訂與生效後,它就正式進入國際法律地位未定的狀態,由於以美國這個「主要戰勝國」及「主要佔領國」(和約中的正式用詞------“principal occupying power”)對台灣主權的歸屬進行了沒有收受國的移轉以及僅給予對台灣進行實際佔領與統治的所謂「中華民國政府」施政權的不完全處分,所以 我只有從戰後美國政府在台海事務的實踐上得出「被日本拋棄的台灣主權至今仍在美國政府的政治監護之中」的推論。
既然我有這種推論或結論,我自然會把「1945年終戰後到今天的台灣」定位為「台灣的美國時代」,也因此我會十分重視台灣1949-1950這個關鍵時期的歷史、史料以及這段關鍵時期的歷史的研究。
關於這段關鍵時期的歷史,不管是從美國的角度,從蔣介石’統治集團的角度,或從台灣本土人的角度來研究,都很值得我們注意,不過,我也建議,我們可以增加一個角度來研究,那就是台美人的角度,因為台美人對美國這個新祖國必須展現忠誠同時又對台灣這個故鄉存有濃厚的情愫與關懷,我們因此應該會有或可以有不同的利益與立場,在這方面,「台美人歷史協會」可以扮演很重要的角色。
關於1945-1950、1949-1950或1950年代這段關鍵時期美國政府所釋出或解密的資料或史料,已有若干學者運用過,但他們基本上都著重在美國的對台政策的評估、制訂與執行上,特別是在評估上。
這其中最受矚目的是:
(1)David M. Finkellstein: From Abandonment to Salvation: Washington’s Taiwan Dilemma, 1949-50(我在寫文章時經常引用) ;
(2) Nancy B. Tucker:  Patterns in the Dust;
(3)Richard C. Bush, III:  At Cross Purposes: US-Taiwan Relations Since 1942(在我寫的一篇主要論文中曾加以引用,我引用的是John F. Dulles擔任美國國務卿時有關台灣法律與政治地位的發言那一部分)。
中國方面曾有人翻譯並出版了這段關鍵時期中美關係的文件與史料,他們運用了美國政府已經解密的檔案與文件,包括已經被美國解密的美中外交關係史料以及美國國家安全會議紀錄,這套書曾在台灣的書店出售,我也購置了一套,做為參考資料。
現在,台灣方面研究台灣法律地位的民間學者王雲程先生加入了Finkelstein,  Tucker與Bush的行列,相信對陷入混沌(或陷入Foggy Bottom的迷障)的「台灣身份」的釐清以及「美國對台灣的設計或計劃」的了解會帶來一些的幫助。
在1950年代初,美國國家安全會議的一份報告曾對台灣前途的解決提出幾個可能的選項: (1)美國託管、(2)台灣獨立、(3)台灣回歸日本、(4)台灣回歸中國,但當時評估的結果是,那些選項在當時都沒有出現可以付諸執行的條件,所以讓蔣介石統治集團繼續對台灣擁有施政權(但沒有主權)的安排就成為不得不然的權宜選擇或安排。
在1945-1950或1949-1950這段關鍵時期的史料大量及較完整地出土之後,我們就可以進行解讀、詮釋與運用,例如,在美國國務院官員莫成德(Livingston T. Merchant)給美國國務院的報告中,就有「本土福爾摩沙人缺乏政治經驗,沒有組織,也沒有很強的領導」這段觀察與結論,我們台美人或台灣人可以對它加以解釋。
由於在228大屠殺的恐怖行動中被日本培養出來的台灣菁英被有計劃地屠戮,台灣人的領袖、菁英除了極少數成功地逃亡或流亡之外,絕大多數都已死在蔣介石中國的槍下或刀下,所以,在美國國務院於1950年初派莫成德來台進行研究與考察,對包括台灣本土人殘存的勢力或人物進行評估,以便做出美國的對台政策與計劃時 ,只能做出「本土福爾摩沙人缺乏政治經驗,沒有組織,也沒有很強的領導」這樣令人洩氣以及毫無幫助的結論 。
由於當時台灣本土人的狀況如此,所以華府根本無法考慮把台灣的施政權交給台灣本土人士,這就是台灣本土人會繼續被流亡在台灣的蔣介石統治集團進行戒嚴與白色恐怖統治幾十年的原因之一。
1945-1950或1949-1950這段關鍵時期的美國史料大量及較完整地出土並被台灣本土學者與專家注意、翻譯、運用與解釋,是件好事,相信我們台灣人與台美人都樂於見到,我現在看到王雲程先生也在從事這方面的工作,我當然感到高興。我在台灣時,曾經有過幾次的機會,與王先一起被謝德謙先生邀請上電台,去談台灣的身份,或者參加座談會,一起談「舊金山和約」與台灣前途的解決,他是一位台灣的好子弟與謙謙君子,我們都應該為他感到驕傲。

台美人歷史協會祕書周威霖撰述
Jan. 5, 2014

附錄

福爾摩沙 1949

內容簡介